CBaTFL

[clyde]

The 911SC Safari and Hammond Roadster closed today and provieds an opportunity for a little update

Actual
Car 1 911 Safari $170,911

Clyde $150,000 = 13.023%
Josh PA $125,000 = 31.030%
JST $188,000 = 9.522%
Nate $175,000 = 2.364%

Car 2 Hammond Roadster $12,500 (Reserve Not Met)

Clyde $12,000 = 4.081%
Josh PA $32,500 = 88.889%
JST $9,000 = 32.558%
Nate $24,000 = 63.013%

Remaining cars and their current bids (as of 6:30pm Thursday):

Car 3 Buick Wagon $8302 closes Friday 2:30pm ET
Car 4 911 S4 c;loses Friday $17200 4:00pm ET
Car 5 1963 Corvette Friday $118,000 6:00pm ET


I realized that there's something I didn't quite define in the rules. How are we determining the overall difference? Are we comparing the sum of hammer prices to the sum of predicted prices? Or are we averaging the percentage difference?

I think the former gives a lot of influence to the high dollar cars, but is that too much or is it acceptable?

[kognito]

Does reserve not met throw a monkey wrench into the system?

Maybe I shouldn't ask questions as I didn't participate. I hope to in the future, RL too crazy the past few days

[clyde]

Originally Posted by kognito

Does reserve not met throw a monkey wrench into the system?

No.

[nate]

I would think averaging the percentage difference is the most fair.

[clyde]

Originally Posted by clyde

The 911SC Safari and Hammond Roadster closed today and provieds an opportunity for a little update

Actual
Car 1 911 Safari $170,911

Clyde $150,000 = 13.023%
Josh PA $125,000 = 31.030%
JST $188,000 = 9.522%
Nate $175,000 = 2.364%

Car 2 Hammond Roadster $12,500 (Reserve Not Met)

Clyde $12,000 = 4.081%
Josh PA $32,500 = 88.889%
JST $9,000 = 32.558%
Nate $24,000 = 63.013%

Remaining cars and their current bids (as of 6:30pm Thursday):

Car 3 Buick Wagon $8302 closes Friday 2:30pm ET
Car 4 911 S4 c;loses Friday $17200 4:00pm ET
Car 5 1963 Corvette Friday $118,000 6:00pm ET


I realized that there's something I didn't quite define in the rules. How are we determining the overall difference? Are we comparing the sum of hammer prices to the sum of predicted prices? Or are we averaging the percentage difference?

I think the former gives a lot of influence to the high dollar cars, but is that too much or is it acceptable?

So...

Actual
Car 1 911 Safari $170,911

Clyde $150,000 = 13.023%
Josh PA $125,000 = 31.030%
JST $188,000 = 9.522%
Nate $175,000 = 2.364%

Car 2 Hammond Roadster $12,500 (Reserve Not Met)

Clyde $12,000 = 4.081%
Josh PA $32,500 = 88.889%
JST $9,000 = 32.558%
Nate $24,000 = 63.013%

Car 3 Buick Skylark Wagon $18,500

Clyde $9,000 = 69.090%
Josh PA $24,250 = 26.900
JST $12,500 = 38.709%
Nate $16,000 = 14.492%

Car 4 928 S4 $35,500

Clyde $35,000 = 1.418%
Josh PA $47,800 = 29.531%
JST $35,000 = 1.418%
Nate $33,000 = 7.299%

Car 5 1963 Corvette $186,000

Clyde $185,000 = 0.539%
Josh PA $122,750 = 40.917%
JST $150,000 = 21.428%
Nate $195,000 = 4.724%

Which looks like this per participant:

clyde
13.023%
4.081%
69.090%
1.418%
0.539%

17.630% average

josh pa
31.030%
88.889%
26.900%
29.531%
40.917%

43.453% average

jst
9.522%
32.558%
38.709%
1.418%
21.428%

20.727% average

nate
2.364%
63.013%
14.492%
7.299%
4.724%

18.378% average

Someone may want to check my math, but it looks like just barely squeaked by Nate this time around.

I'll be back later Saturday with next week's choices.

[nate]

Originally Posted by clyde

it looks like just barely squeaked by Nate this time around.

Congrats!

[clyde]

CBATFL: Round 2

For this first round, we'll go with five cars. Next week…? We either decide by consensus by then or whoever makes selections next week will choose.

Car 1: 2003 BMW 330i ZHP 6-Speed




Car 2: 2015 Audi R8 V10 Competition Coupe




Car 3: 1995 Volvo 850 T5-R Wagon




Car 4: 1972 BMW 3.0CS 5-Speed




Car 5: 350 Powered 1976 Toyota Land Cruiser FJ40

[clyde]

Originally Posted by nate

Congrats!

Thanks!

Kinda surprising to see how close some of us were on a few and so far away on others.

[John V]

1) ZHP: $20,500
2) R8 Comp: $185,000
3) 850 T5-R Wagon: $14,000
4) 3.0CS: $160,000
5) FJ: $55,000

I intentionally am getting in early with my guesses so I'm not influenced by others' guesses

[kognito]

1) ZHP: $30,000
2) R8 Comp: $210,000 (and I bet RNM)
3) 850 T5-R Wagon: $15,000
4) 3.0CS: $145,000
5) FJ: $62,000