Quote:
Originally Posted by lemming
So let’s use your math, to logic through when electric cars will “matter”, i.e. really move the car market into the modern era, as opposed to the 1960s where the model seems to live now.
Auto sales are 17m a year.
4.5m are cars and 12.5m seem to be trucks (work trucks) and SUVs.
EVs could make the most “good” in the truck segment. Clearly. So maybe the breakthrough happens there first, in a substantial way.
Maybe the car market just doesn’t matter, looking at these numbers. Maybe EVs really takeover the market when there’s 300mi range in an SUV like a CRV/Pilot/4Runner at a price point like the Tesla 3. And that’s when the light switch hits “on”.
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The EV F-150 is going to be a big deal, but the Model Y is also going to be a big deal once covid-related production delays go away.